Energy Market Update 19/08/2025

Welcome to our weekly energy market update, where we share the latest trends, shifts, and key developments impacting the energy sector. Whether it’s fluctuations in oil and gas prices, changes in renewable energy policies, or updates on energy infrastructure projects, we’re here to help you stay informed. Join us as we break down the most important factors influencing the market this week, and explore what these changes could mean for your business.

Current Market Drivers:

🛢️ Trump has backed down from his threat of additional sanctions on Russia, easing concerns over the impact on Russian gas and LNG flows

📉 The extended 90-day US–China trade truce offers some bullish signals; however, these have largely been overshadowed by the lack of further clarity and signs of US stagflation, which cloud the macroeconomic outlook

🏭 Data from the Eurozone indicate weaker industrial output, with Germany—one of Europe’s largest industrial economies—falling 3.3% last week as tariffs weigh on the macroeconomic activity

🕊️ Friday’s Trump-Putin summit failed to secure a ceasefire deal, as Russia’s peace proposals showed little deterrent to ongoing military objectives. Trump appeared to favour Russia’s stance of pursuing a lasting peace deal while hostilities continue

🌍 There are signs La Niña conditions could arise for Winter-25, bringing colder weather risks and the potential for reduced wind output, while next summer could shift to El Niño, raising the risk of extreme temperatures.

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